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Key Takeaways, Analysis & Review of Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner
- Narrated by: Kevin Gillispie
- Length: 25 mins
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Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight.
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Performance
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Pass on this one and read The Black Swan
- By Wade T. Brooks on 06-25-12
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Range
- Why Generalists Triumph in a Specialized World
- By: David Epstein
- Narrated by: Will Damron
- Length: 10 hrs and 46 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall
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Performance
-
Story
Plenty of experts argue that anyone who wants to develop a skill, play an instrument, or lead their field should start early, focus intensely, and rack up as many hours of deliberate practice as possible. But a closer look at research on the world’s top performers shows that early specialization is the exception, not the rule. David Epstein examined the world’s most successful athletes, artists, musicians, inventors, forecasters and scientists. He discovered that in most fields—especially those that are complex and unpredictable—generalists, not specialists, are primed to excel.
-
-
If you're highly curious, read this
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Think Again
- The Power of Knowing What You Don't Know
- By: Adam Grant
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- Length: 6 hrs and 40 mins
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Overall
-
Performance
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Story
Intelligence is usually seen as the ability to think and learn, but in a rapidly changing world, there's another set of cognitive skills that might matter more: the ability to rethink and unlearn. In our daily lives, too many of us favor the comfort of conviction over the discomfort of doubt. We listen to opinions that make us feel good, instead of ideas that make us think hard. We see disagreement as a threat to our egos, rather than an opportunity to learn.
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Publisher's summary
Preview:
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction is a nonfiction book about the accuracy of forecasting. It recounts the efforts of Philip E. Tetlock, a professor of psychology and marketing at the Wharton School of Business of the University of Pennsylvania, to create accurate measurements of the accuracy of forecasting and to study the people and conditions that create the most accurate forecasts....
PLEASE NOTE: This is key takeaways and analysis of the book and not the original book. In this Instaread of Superforecasting:
- Overview of the book
- Important people
- Key takeaways
- Analysis of key takeaways
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What listeners say about Key Takeaways, Analysis & Review of Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner
Average customer ratingsReviews - Please select the tabs below to change the source of reviews.
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Overall
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Performance
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- Amazon Customer
- 04-30-16
I wasted my money on this audiobook
I probably only got one or two good ideas from this audio book and I believe that it is not worth the money for the one or two good ideas that I got I already know.
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